Chip Stock Investor

Chip Stock Investor

@chipstockinvestor · 257K subscribers · 942 videos · English

Chip Stock Investor is semiconductor and tech investment research — earnings, supply chains, and the numbers behind chip and tech stocks. Free here: new vide…

Episodes

14:08

Will PTC Do to Schneider What Ansys Did to Synopsys?

2.2K views · 2d ago · 14:08

Schneider Electric stock: Is the $23.7 billion all-cash PTC acquisition worth the debt Schneider will take on? In this video: why Schneider is buying PTC and Cognite to push into industrial software, how PTC’s software margins compare with Schneider’s, and why the debt load makes us cautious for now.

Topics: Schneider’s $23.7B PTC Deal: Why It Matters Now · Cognite: The $3.1B AI Platform Already in the Pipeline · How PTC Fits Into Schneider’s AVEVA Software Stack · Moving Downstream: Vertical Integration vs. Synopsys-Ansys · What $24B Buys: Creo, Onshape & Lifecycle Software · Digital Twins: The Real Industrial AI Use Case

15:17

The Market Isn’t Wrong About Micron -- Here’s Why

16K views · 3d ago · 15:17

Micron stock: why does a memory maker with capacity sold out through fiscal 2028 still trade at a 13x P/E? In this video: why cyclical stocks often look cheapest near the top of a cycle, what a reverse DCF says Micron is pricing in, and how our normalized profit calculator reframes its valuation.

Topics: Why Cyclical Stocks Look Cheapest at the Worst Time · Viewer Question: Micron Sold Out Through 2028, So Is It Cheap? · Using Normalized Profit for Companies That Are Over-Earning · The Market Isn’t Wrong, It’s Pricing Probabilities · Micron as a Memory IDM: The Boom-Bust Layer of the Supply Chain · Why We’re Likely Not at Peak Memory Cycle Yet

15:29

Is Amkor a Buy After Nvidia’s $3 Billion Deal?

4.9K views · 5d ago · 15:29

Amkor (AMKR) stock: a solid Q3 2026 and a bigger Nvidia deal, so why are we still passing? In this video: what Amkor actually does in advanced packaging, what drove its Q3 2026 results and margin jump, and why we’d rather own the equipment makers behind packaging than the packager itself.

Topics: Amkor Q3 2026 and the AI Packaging Bottleneck · What Amkor Does: Advanced Packaging Explained · Why Packaging Is Now a Key Industry Bottleneck · Nvidia’s $3B Commitment and the TSMC Partnership · Q3 Results: Revenue, Net Income, and Free Cash Flow · Segment Breakdown: Computing and Auto Up 37%

42:38

The Next AI Breakthrough Isn't Chips — It's What They're Made Of (with Shalini Sharma, Ph.D.)

8.2K views · 1w ago · 42:38

Guest: Shalini Sharma

Is chip materials science, not just GPUs, becoming the next AI bottleneck? In this video: what large quantitative models (LQMs) are and how they differ from LLMs, why the shift to 3D chips makes new materials critical, and how SandboxAQ plans to use its $500M CHIPS award.

Topics: LQMs vs. LLMs explained · Why materials are the hidden AI bottleneck · From 2D scaling to 3D chips and the Angstrom era · CFETs, compound semis, and science as a search problem · Do LQMs have a scaling law? · GPUs, ASICs, and where quantum computing fits

17:51

How to Value Unprofitable Businesses: Ouster (OUST Stock) Example -- Normalized Profit Calculator

6.1K views · 1w ago · 17:51

Ouster stock: what has to go right over the next 10 years to justify $41 a share? In this video: Ouster’s (OUST) Q2 2026 results, why plunging LiDAR sensor prices are actually good news, and how to value an unprofitable growth company with our new normalized profit and peer benchmarking calculator.

Topics: Where Ouster fits in the end-market cycle: auto, industrial, and physical AI · Q2 2026 results: color LiDAR and 56% revenue growth · Falling selling prices and the Jevons paradox · Q3 guidance, gross margin, and operating expense control · The financials: operating and free cash flow margins · Reverse DCF and “pretend profitability”

12:42

CoreWeave Bonds Hit 15% Yield: Are Neoclouds In Trouble?

8.2K views · 1w ago · 12:42

CoreWeave stock: why did CRWV and the neoclouds sell off when its 9.75% bonds started sliding? In this video: how the bond price-to-yield see-saw works, what CoreWeave’s balance sheet says about its next debt raise, and how we’re adjusting our portfolio.

Topics: Why Neocloud Investors Are Hurting Right Now · The 2022 Playbook: When Rising Yields Crush Growth Stocks · CoreWeave’s 9.75% Senior Notes, Explained · Balance Sheet Check: $5.5B Cash vs. $35B Debt · The Bond See-Saw: Why Prices Fall as Yields Rise · Reason #1: A Flood of AI and Government Debt

26:26

Wix at 7.5x Free Cash Flow: Deep Value or Value Trap?

2.5K views · 2w ago · 26:26

Wix took on $1.1B in 0% convertible notes priced near $210/share, then bought back $1.6B of stock, all with shares trading around $75. Is management seeing value the market is missing, or is WIX a value trap? Wix (WIX) has been one of the hardest-hit names in this year’s SaaSpocalypse. The market has been pricing software companies as if the AI labs will absorb everything. The numbers tell a more complicated story.

Topics: Wix After the SaaSpocalypse: Dead or Mispriced? · “Reports of My Death”: Why Wix Still Has Real Assets · Wix Harmony vs. Base44: Two Paths to AI Site Building · Base44 vs. the AI Labs: $150M ARR in Under a Year · Base1: Why Wix Is Building Its Own LLM · $1.1B Convertible Notes & a $1.6B Buyback

12:54

Is the Neocloud Bubble Popping? What TSMC Q3 Tells Us

16K views · 2w ago · 12:54

TSMC just beat the high end of its own guidance, and on the same day CoreWeave’s debt traded at a 15% yield. Here’s how to square the two, and why we’ve been flagging neocloud balance sheet risk for over a year. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) delivered another standout quarter in Q3 2026: $46.7 billion in revenue, a 66% gross margin, and a 58.7% operating margin. Nearly 80% of wafer revenue came from 7nm and below.

Topics: TSMC Q3 2026: A Record Quarter and a Neocloud Warning · TSMC’s 40% Run and Its Role at the Base of the Chip Stack · Q3 Breakdown: $46.7B Revenue, 66% Gross Margin, 7nm and Below · HPC Hits 68% of Revenue and $60–64B CapEx Guidance · Agentic AI Demand, Arizona Fab 2, and Advanced Packaging · Long-Term Bets: High-NA EUV Photomasks and Sony Deal

13:44

Buy the Dip? ASML's Early 2027-28 Outlook After A 55% Sales Surge

14K views · 2w ago · 13:44

ASML just told investors it can’t fully meet customer demand for the next two years. Q3 2026 sales jumped 55%, and the outlook for 2027–2028 changed significantly. ASML just reported Q3 2026 results, and the numbers reshape the outlook for the entire wafer fab equipment industry. Net sales reached €11.66 billion, up 55% year over year. Memory chipmakers and installed base upgrades filled the gap left by softer logic spending.

Topics: ASML Kicks Off Chip Earnings Season · The EUV Moat: Why Lithography Is a Choke Point · Sales by End Market: Memory Picks Up the Slack · Q3 2026 Revenue: +55% and the Lumpy Sales Cycle · Net Income, the Mistral AI Gain & Free Cash Flow · Revisiting Our 2028 Slowdown Call

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