Each week, Nate Silver, Clare Malone and Galen Druke dig into the latest in politics and the numbers behind it. They break down what's happening, why, and wh…
14:3817K views · 8h ago · 14:38
Nate, Clare, and Galen answer your questions about polling skepticism, the gender gap, and how undecided voters might break in the midterms. Each week, Nate Silver, Clare Malone and Galen Druke dig into the latest in politics and the numbers behind it. They break down what's happening, why, and what might happen next. They'll be covering everything from elections to betting markets to AI.
1:17:48121K views · 1d ago · 1:17:48
Could Democrats Pull Off a SHOCKING Upset in Trump Country? With Election Day less than a week away, Galen, Clare, and Nate answer your burning questions and unpack what the latest New York Times/Siena poll reveals about South Carolina’s Senate race, whether pollsters are herding, and how to interpret the numbers in the final stretch. They also dig into what early voting data can—and can’t—tell us about voter turnout and the broader electorate.
Topics: Polling Upsets in the South · Early Voting · Answering Your Questions
30:00365K views · 1w ago · 30:00
Nate Silver and Tommy Vietor discuss the latest midterms polling, including where Democrats are trending up and where they might see complications. They also cover the impacts of a fake polling firm controversy, the odds of ticket splitting on election day, and Trump's collapsing approval rating.
1:33:42116K views · 1w ago · 1:33:42
Nate, Galen, and Clare dive into the latest midterms numbers, including FLIPR’s updated forecast giving Democrats a 77 percent chance of winning the Senate and the final Times/Siena national poll of the election, which finds Trump’s approval rating at a new low.
Topics: Number of the Week: Will Trump Accept the Results? · Flipper Forecast Update & New York Times/Siena Poll · Are Red-State Polls Overstating Democrats? · Diesel, Gas Prices & Trump's Last-Minute Moves · The Wedgwood Fake Polling Scandal
12:5148K views · 2w ago · 12:51
Nate, Galen, and Clare weigh in on Democrats' red-state polling, Talarico health conspiracy theories, and Hillary Clinton the podcaster. Each week, Nate Silver, Clare Malone and Galen Druke dig into the latest in politics and the numbers behind it. They break down what's happening, why, and what might happen next. They'll be covering everything from elections to betting markets to AI. Expect rigorous analysis and a few hot takes, but no spin and no false sense of certainty.
1:09:55100K views · 2w ago · 1:09:55
Clare, Nate, and Galen check the latest in the FLIPR midterms forecast and discuss whether the election has solidified, or if Republicans can mount a last ditch recovery. Then, in “Do You Buy It?” they put conventional wisdom to the test, unpacking the latest midterms headlines and examining whether the assumptions behind the stories actually hold up.
Topics: Is the Race Locked In? · Are Democrats Winning or Are Voters Just Punishing Trump? · Which Past Midterm Is This Most Like? · Do You Buy It? · Can Money Save the GOP? · Red States vs. Blue States
24:2376K views · 2w ago · 24:23
Ranking the WILDEST October Surprises of the Midterms (So Far) October Surprise season is here! From leaked Ken Paxton audio and Kimberly Guilfoyle's latest scandal to James Talarico's campaign absence, Abdul El-Sayed's past Obama criticism, and Trump officials' ties to pro-Russia politicians, Galen Druke and Clare Malone rank the latest political controversies and ask which ones could actually matter in the midterms.
Topics: Ken Paxton Audio Leaks · James Talarico Flu · Abdul El-Sayed Obama Criticism · Kimberly Guilfoyle Scandal · Trump Officials Meeting With Pro-Russia Nationals
1:20:16108K views · 3w ago · 1:20:16
Our First 2028 Democratic Presidential Draft! Galen, Clare, and Nate check the latest FLIPR forecasts for the House and Senate before discussing the closer than expected Senate race in Minnesota. Then it’s time for the first-ever Still Counting Draft! The hosts make their picks for the 2028 Democratic presidential primary, including frontrunners like AOC and Gavin Newsom.
Topics: Midterm Forecast Update · Republicans shift money to red states · Minnesota Senate Race · Still Counting LIVE at Crooked Con · The 2028 Democratic Primary Draft · Gavin Newsom
11:3411K views · 4w ago · 11:34
Do Voters Actually Care When Candidates Behave Badly? From Mary Peltola to Graham Platner to Katie Porter, candidate scandals keep making headlines. But do they actually change how people vote? Nate Silver, Clare Malone, and Galen Druke break down what makes voters care about a political scandal and what they’re willing to overlook.
1:09:02109K views · 4w ago · 1:09:02
The Surprising Midterm Races Democrats Are Winning and Losing Nate, Galen, and Clare break down the latest midterm polling in some of the most competitive congressional contests and Democrats’ continued edge. In Maine, they discuss the NYT/Siena numbers and what Senator Susan Collins’ lead over Troy Jackson in that poll indicates about the race. In Ohio, they unpack what Republican Senator Jon Husted’s low name recognition means for his unusual matchup against Sherrod Brown.
Topics: Latest Midterm Polls and Forecast · Why Dems Are Gaining Ground in Red States · Making Sense of the Maine Senate Race · Why Did Ohio Stop Being a Swing State? · Do Voters in Alaska Care About the Mary Peltola Scandal?
23:0132K views · 1mo ago · 23:01
What Voters Actually Care About Heading Into the Midterms What do voters actually care about heading into the midterms? Nate Silver, Clare Malone, and Galen Druke break down a new survey revealing the issues driving voters in 2026.
1:06:2797K views · 1mo ago · 1:06:27
Can Republicans Outrun Trump’s Bad Poll Numbers? On today’s episode, Galen, Clare, and Nate take a closer look at the latest midterms polling, where the data could be wrong, the likelihood for errors, and whether the apparent blue-wave story is as convincing as it looks. Then, they stress-test the case for and against the polls, examining both the bull and bear cases for believing the numbers.
Topics: The Current State of the Midterms · How Believable Are These Polls? · What Makes a “Good” Poll? · Can Democrats Trust Their Lead? · Republicans Are Losing Ground in Midterms · Can Republicans Outrun Trump?
57:40130K views · 1mo ago · 57:40
On today’s show, Nate, Clare, and Galen dig into new polling suggesting Democrats are in a stronger position than ever heading into the midterms. Then, they turn to the latest issue making its way into the political debate: AI. What do the polls tell us about how Americans really feel about AI safety—and will it matter in November?
Topics: Midterm Polling and Democrats Surge · Inflation vs. Affordability · AI Safety Enters Politics · Pop Quiz: More or Less Popular Than AI?
23:5999K views · 1mo ago · 23:59
We drew nine of the most competitive Senate races out of a hat and ranked their odds. Each week, Nate Silver, Clare Malone and Galen Druke dig into the latest in politics and the numbers behind it. They break down what's happening, why, and what might happen next. They'll be covering everything from elections to betting markets to AI. Expect rigorous analysis and a few hot takes, but no spin and no false sense of certainty.
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